U.S. Growth in Q1 is expected to be negative for the first time in six years.

WSJ “올해 1분기 미국 경제성장률 전망 2.0%→1.3%” > 국제 > 뉴스 ...

The WSJ observed a record unemployment rate of around 15 percent in April.
Ahead of the announcement of the U.S. GDP in the first quarter of the year, some warn that the U.S. economy will record its worst performance since the 2008 global financial crisis. White House Senior Advisor Kevin Hassett, President Donald Trump’s economic book, also warned ABC on the 26th that worsening economic indicators are inevitable for the time being, saying, “The unemployment rate could come close to the Great Depression in the near future.”

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that Wall Street experts expected U.S. growth rates in the first and second quarters to be -3.5% and -25.0%, respectively. U.S. negative growth is the last in the first quarter of 2014 (-1.1 percent).

Second-quarter GDP is expected to suffer a bigger slump. Wall Street financial firms such as JP Morgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs have already forecast that the second-quarter growth rate will be in the -30 percent range. It is predicted that the unemployment rate for April, which will be announced early next month, will also exceed 4.4 percent in March and reach around 15 percent.

Major conglomerates’ first-quarter earnings are also unlikely to be free from the Corona 19 shock. Google’s parent companies Alphabet and HSBC Bank on Friday and Microsoft Airbus on Tuesday will unveil their report cards. Apple’s Amazon McDonald on Thursday and Exxon Mobil and Chevron on April 1.

Prospects are mixed after the second half. Some predict a “V-shaped rebound” and others say that “the slump will continue throughout this year.” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Fox News that a third-quarter rebound will emerge when economic normalization begins next month. In the WSJ survey, 85 percent of the respondents also said the Corona 19 crisis will subside in the second half and the economy will show signs of recovery. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, on the other hand, predicted CBS that the U.S. economy will only recover to its pre-19 level later next year.

The European Union, which will announce its first-quarter GDP on Thursday, is also likely to post negative growth. International credit rating agency Fitch Ratings on Tuesday presented its growth forecast for Italy and the eurozone as a whole this year at -8.0 percent and -7.0 percent, respectively, with the highest number of deaths in Europe.

Las Vegas, a city of service industry, 25 percent of the unemployed in ‘corona direct hit’

A casino in Las Vegas, Nevada, was seen on Wednesday (local time). The suspension of operations due to Corona 19 left the casino crowded with people 24 hours a day.

Since the Corona 19 crisis began in earnest, as many as 350,000 people have applied for unemployment benefits in Nevada. It marks the fifth consecutive week that jobless applicants have broken new records, marking the highest figure in Nevada’s history. Las Vegas market research firm “Apply Annalis” estimated that the unemployment rate in Las Vegas would reach 25 percent. The figure is twice as high as the Great Depression, and the figure continues to rise. Jeremy Aguero, CEO of Applied Analysis, said it is “unprecedented from an analytical point of view” and that “there is no quasi-base on the current situation.”

Nevada pays unemployment benefits for 26 weeks, up to $469 per week. However, the recent surge in demand for unemployment benefits has paralyzed Internet sites that manage them, and delayed work. “We received 28,000 calls a day last month,” said Rosa Mendes, spokesman for Nevada’s Employment and Training Rehabilitation Bureau. “This is the first time in state history.” Complaints such as “the waiting time for phone calls alone was nine hours” are rising in various social networking services, while criticism is mounting that “the authorities focus only on those who are confirmed to be Corona 19 and don’t care about those who have no money to buy medicine because they lost their jobs.”

As the unemployment problem spreads out of control, the Las Vegas and Nevada governments are also agonizing. It would be nice to ease the evacuation of homes right away in consideration of deepening economic wrinkles, but there are also many counterargument that it could encourage the spread of Corona 19. Las Vegas Mayor Carolyn Goodman said in a broadcast interview last week that casino and other non-essential facilities should be reopened. Las Vegas hotels and casinos are also seeking to resume operations from the 15th of next month, offering heat tests on guests as an alternative. Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak, however, does not specifically mention the timing of easing the evacuation of homes, saying, “It is not yet time to resume operations.”

Samsung Electronics and Apple, which divide the global market, are competing for content beyond mobile phone competition.

Smartphone makers Samsung Electronics and Apple, which divide the global market, are competing for content beyond handset competition. The point is the strategy of the two companies, which are 180 degrees different. The Galaxy, which has leading companies such as Netflix, YouTube, and Spotify, and Apple’s iPhone, which grows its own content ecosystem, will face off.

First of all, Samsung has integrated with the world’s largest music streaming site “Spotify.” You can easily search for music and podcasts and set your favorite songs as alarms. It is also connected to home speakers.

In particular, it is notable that Samsung Electronics has increased the supply of contents to low-end smartphones unlike before. Securing content from manufacturers is considered as an important factor as device performance and specifications as it can attract additional consumers.

Samsung also collaborates with Google in video call services. It allows Google Duo to run wide-angle screens and augmented reality only on Galaxy devices. In the case of YouTube, the company immediately provided Samsung with a feature that allows the 8K video to be compatible with YouTube, along with the YouTube premium. This collaboration is expected to become more diverse and concrete. A Samsung Electronics official said, “We will move toward solidifying partnerships with global IT and content companies.”

Apple is against it. It is going to establish an ecosystem for its own contents. Apple seems to be focusing on its content business under the motto of “growth without iPhone” since last year. It is trying to transform itself into a content company by strengthening “Apple services” such as music streaming service Apple Music, App Store Apple Arcade, Apple Podcast and iCloud Apple Care.

In this context, dozens of Apple service support countries have been added to Africa, Latin America, the Middle East and Asia along with the recent release of iPhone SE.

It is seen as a strategy that aims to increase Apple loyalty and even sell premium Apple devices from a long-term perspective by launching low-priced smartphones in emerging markets and allowing them to experience Apple services. iPhone sales are concentrated in several specific markets, including North America and China.

Apple, which continues to update its Apple services, has helped secure its own content services by introducing new Apple Arcade and Apple TV Plus last year.

It is also doing well. Apple’s service sector is taking up an expanded portion of Apple’s entire business. Apple’s gross margin in the service sector, which accounts for more than 20 percent of its total sales, is reported to be 64 percent as of last fiscal year. In other words, Apple’s service has become Apple’s “good son business” that brings bigger profits than iPad MacBook AirPods.

Competition for content by smartphone makers is expected to intensify in the future. This is because high-quality content can be a means of revealing the strengths of its devices and an opportunity to increase brand loyalty. “Smartphone users tend to continue to use existing manufacturers,” an industry source said. “In order to prevent customers from leaving, manufacturers should also seek ways to give royalties to customers, such as securing content as well as developing simple hardware.”

New Zealand Declares to Win Corona

27일(현지 시각) 저신다 아던 뉴질랜드 총리가 자국 내에서 코로나 바이러스 감염증이 제거됐다고 선언하고 있다./AFP 연합뉴스
New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern declares on the 27th (local time) that the Corona Virus infection has been removed in her country.

New Zealand, which has maintained a strong homeland blockade and a travel ban for more than a month since last month, has declared an end to the Corona crisis.

According to BBC and CNN, New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said in a press conference on the 27th (local time) that the coronavirus had been “removed at this time.” Accordingly, the “four-stage” Corona alert issued to all New Zealand territories will be lowered to three levels as of 11:59 p.m. on the same day, and non-essential workplaces and schools that have been suspended will also be gradually opened from Friday. New Zealand is scheduled to decide on additional measures, including the lifting of restrictions on movement, on April 11.

Based on the U.S. Johns Hopkins University tally, 1,469 confirmed cases and 19 deaths have occurred in New Zealand so far. On the 26th, the number of newly confirmed patients decreased to one. Foreign media say this is due to a strong blockade of the country and a wide range of Corona prosecutors. In New Zealand, which has a population of less than 5 million, 129,320 tests have been conducted. It is 2.4 percent of the population.

However, the local government does not rule out the possibility of re-proliferation, and appeals to most people to stay at home and avoid all social contacts. Ashley Bloomfield, secretary general of New Zealand’s Department of Health, said, “Removing corona means that there are no new confirmed cases, and we don’t know where other confirmed cases will come from.” Prime Minister Ardern said, “We want to reopen the economy, but it’s not people’s social life.”

In the meantime, New Zealand has been under a strong containment policy since last month when the spread of the Corona regional infection began in earnest. New Zealand closed all borders and banned foreigners from entering the country. It imposed mandatory quarantine measures on all citizens who returned to their countries. It has also imposed closures on all offices, schools and restaurants since April 26. Unlike other countries such as the United States, it was not possible to order delivery or packaging at restaurants.

Source: https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/27/asia/new-zealand-elimination-coronavirus-jacinda-ardern-intl/index.html

http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2020/04/28/2020042800519.html

Employees who won’t be back to work because continuing to receive unemployment benefits.

Critics pointed out that the U.S. policy of “perpetual unemployment benefits” weakens workers’ willingness to return to work and consequently encourages unemployment. This is through a column titled “Our Restaurants Can’t Open Until August,” published by the Wall Street Journal on the 21st. Kurt Huffman, owner of “Chefstable,” a restaurant chain based in Portland, Oregon, contributed the article

According to the column, Huffman temporarily laid off about 700 employees on April 15 in the aftermath of the new coronavirus infection. The key is to survive as much as possible until the restaurant is reopened.

It has since endured with packaging and delivery services instead of operating in restaurants. About two weeks after closing, packaging and delivery operations went better than expected. Sales were only 30 percent higher than before, but many employees were needed again.

That’s when it hit a snag. Every time I called to ask them to come back to work, the employees expressed their refusal one after another. The reason was simple. They say that thanks to unemployment benefits, the more they work, the less they earn.

They said they could earn $10 to $16 a week just by staying at home now. This is due to the Federal Epidemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) program of the CARES Act, The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, which was enacted urgently after the outbreak of Corona 19. Rather than working full-time, he could earn $376 more every week. The inducement for reinstatement has vanished.

Sources : https://www.adirondackdailyenterprise.com/news/local-news/2020/04/many-laid-off-workers-getting-more-on-unemployment-than-on-the-job/

International oil prices have plummeted again…WTI, 11 bucks a barrel.

사우디아라비아의 주요 석유시설 두 곳이 무인비행기(드론) 공격을 받아 가동이 잠정 중단되면서 국제유가가 19% 이상 폭등했다.(사진=연합뉴스)

International oil prices are falling again. The June delivery of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) in the U.S. continued to fall sharply after falling 25 percent the previous day.

WTI fell 16.7 percent to $10.64 during the day. Earlier the previous day, the WTI fell $4.16 or 24.6 percent to close at $12.78 per barrel.

International oil prices are showing extreme instability amid concerns that they may be entering negative territory again. Earlier in May, the delivery of WTI fell to -40 dollars per barrel during the day. In other words, there could be a situation in which the government has to add money while rolling up crude oil.

What concerns the market is the global “tank top” situation. As a result of the sharp drop in demand for crude oil due to the new coronavirus infection (CORONA 19), crude oil is currently oversupplied. Although the market has been storing excess crude oil in stores, there is a growing concern that even this will face limitations. Tank tops mean that as crude oil inventories increase, storage will no longer be able to fill crude oil.

Moreover, the oil market is fluctuating as the U.S. Oil Fund, the world’s largest oil-listed index fund, has decided to sell all of its near-term June products over four days.

Sources : https://www.ft.com/content/f878ae96-0b20-49fb-a997-30cb13b4bb77

https://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LSD&mid=shm&sid1=104&oid=052&aid=0001433691

Corona Virus Not Stopping Netflix

The numbers have been released and Netflix nearly doubled the amount of new subscribers they were anticipating. Netflix added nearly 16 million paid subscribers in the first quarter compared to the 9 million they added this time last year. The stock closed in at a record high on Monday of $437.49 per share. Despite all the new streaming services that have been released this past year like Disney plus, peacock, and the upcoming release of HBO max, Netflix has been able secure its foothold in the land of streaming thanks to the optimal releasing of exclusive programs like tiger king, Ozarks, and money heist. Luckily for the subscribers Netflix also said they have over 200 projects in postproduction that are getting worked on by employees remotely at their houses. The second quarters is expected to unveil another flood of content to its platform.

Article: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/netflix-adds-more-than-15-million-new-subscribers-stock-rockets-higher-2020-04-21 Image: https://www.binged.com/news/netflix-stock-price-hits-all-time-high-as-more-people-than-ever-flock-to-netflix-amidst-coronavirus-quarantine/

Surveillance and Covid-19

Fear can make people do terrible things, like tracking people and infringing on citizens rights in the name of national security. Fear also makes people more susceptible to suggestion making it one of the most exploitable human emotions. China was the first to encounter the corona pandemic so china is also the model for how to deal with the virus.

China uses a variety of tactics to control its society of over a billion people these include the worlds largest Internet censorship program dubbed “The Great Firewall of China”, an AI centered facial recognition program, and a mandatory social credit system that can affect a persons way of life by limiting travel based on a poor social score. All this data is collected to assess a person’s loyalty to china and the novel coronavirus provides justification to expand on these controversial activities around the globe.

Countries like hungry are also using this crisis to expand surveillance, hungry passed a bill that allows their Prime Minister to rule by decree. 23 other countries have implemented “contact tracing apps” allowing countries to keep record of person’s social relationships. In Hong Kong people are forced to wear wristbands that alert authorities if a person leaves their place of quarantine. In all the world powers are noticing this is a chance to rein in control over their citizens and so far we have been compliant.

Article: https://dgrnewsservice.org/civilization/repression/rise-of-coronavirus-surveillance/

Image: https://theday.co.uk/stories/1984-at-70-still-relevant-says-orwell-s-son

Facebook Adds Virtual Dates

Facebook is helping users find their love during quarantine by boosting their dating service. They plan to enable virtual dates so users can do video chats on Messenger without having to add one another. Essentially, users can video chat with strangers to try and find a connection.

Facebook is trying to allow users to go on virtual dates because in-person dates are not an option during the COVID-19 pandemic. Facebook said in a blog post that the purpose is to, “help people find meaningful relationships even when they can’t meet in person.”

The process is as soon as the virtual dating option is active, users can invite matches to video chat. If the recipient agrees, Facebook Messenger will connect them with each other. Facebook hopes their users can find love this quarantine.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2020/04/26/coronavirus-facebook-adding-virtual-dating-tool/3030311001/

Coronavirus Changing The Movie Industry Permanantly

The COVID-19 outbreak has caused change in a lot of industries, especially the movie industry. Films are being available at home, and may never return to the theaters.

Disney recently announced their movie “Onward,” will become available digitally for $19.99, then will soon be available on Disney+. Typically, a movie recently released in theaters would not be available to watch at home for some time. The closure of theaters is convincing studios to break what’s known as the “window,” which is the three-month period between when a movie hits theaters, and when it’s offered as an on demand purchase or rental, and then later on streaming devices. 

Universal announced on Monday that they are going to make movies available at home on the same day as their theater release, starting with “Trolls World Tour.” Universal starting this may cause other companies to follow in their footsteps.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/20/how-coronavirus-could-permanently-change-the-movie-industry.html